A War Foretold: How the CIA and MI6 Predicted Russia's Invasion and Why No One Believed Them

A War Foretold: How the CIA and MI6 Predicted Russia's Invasion and Why No One Believed Them
A War Foretold examines how the CIA and MI6 accurately predicted Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, including its routes, timing, and the planned assault on Kyiv. Despite one of the most precise intelligence successes in recent history, key leaders in Kyiv and Europe dismissed the warnings. The article explores why credible intelligence failed to persuade, how misjudging Putin’s irrational strategy proved costly, and what this reveals about modern war, power, and geopolitical risk.